trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 43% | 43% | -24.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 43% | 43% | -24.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 43% | 43% | -24.7% |
| all | 7 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 43% | 43% | -24.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -23.6% | 43% | -24.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -30.9% | 43% | -31.9% |
| 15% | -37.6% | 43% | -38.5% |
| 20% | -43.7% | 43% | -44.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 51¢ | 51¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 66¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 30¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 25? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-79%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $1 | +$1 | +84% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -74% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 | Jun 25 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $94 | +$62 | +66% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | −$91 | -90% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -80% |