Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:32:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x1352…aab4 crypto 1255 markets active 1d ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,283 (-34%) realized −$3,283 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%659W / 661L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day93.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,188
7 days−$2,996
14 days−$2,315
30 days−$2,312
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,057
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 511 -9.4% -18.1% 39% 39% -75.3%
≤30d 639 +6.7% -3.4% 44% 44% -50.4%
≤90d 1320 +2.1% -7.7% 50% 50% -27.9%
all 1320 +2.1% -7.7% 50% 50% -27.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 50% -27.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 48% -34.8%
15% -24.6% 36% -41.1%
20% -32.0% 36% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$11 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,283
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses659 / 661
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1320 / 1255
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day93.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1320 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $282 −$282 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records