Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1355…6591
other · 339 markets active 107d ago
0.0score
+$62,043 +38%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$62,043 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$62,043
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses127 / 474
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)601 / 339
Avg bet$484
Trades / day83.8
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit16%
Chart Positions 0 History 601 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,469
7 days−$10,469
14 days−$10,469
30 days−$10,469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $313 $0 −$313 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $336 $0 −$336 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Playoffs PCIFIC 9¢ 0¢ $439 $0 −$439 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $908 $0 −$908 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Team WE 22¢ 0¢ $1,104 $0 −$1,104 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage PARIVISION 36¢ 0¢ $1,141 $0 −$1,141 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? No 36¢ 0¢ $396 $0 −$396 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026 Jun 12 $1 +$509 +34475%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? Jun 12 $50 +$1,188 +2356%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 20 Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? Jun 12 $291 −$291 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026 Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026 Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026 Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026 Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026 Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 20 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jun 12 $178 −$178 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? Jun 12 $157 −$157 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 20 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? Jun 12 $320 −$320 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026 Jun 12 $522 −$600 -115%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026 Jun 12 $320 −$290 -91%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 20 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$68,067
sports 37% +$4,879
world 0% −$396
politics 0% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 87¢ $22 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $8 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $12 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $11 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $3 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $6 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $7 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $1 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $10 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $4 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $89 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $2 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $7 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $5 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $1 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $120 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $100 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $1,167 106d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 SELL Yes 89¢ $3 106d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 202 BUY No 55¢ $975 107d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 BUY Yes 1¢ $250 107d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 BUY Yes 3¢ $87 107d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 BUY Yes 3¢ $62 107d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 BUY Yes 2¢ $26 107d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 20 SELL Yes 16¢ $145 107d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 202 SELL Yes 43¢ $389 107d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026 BUY Yes 3¢ $135 107d
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 SELL Yes 47¢ $5,794 107d
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 BUY Yes 46¢ $1,328 107d
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 BUY Yes 45¢ $322 107d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 257 -67.0% -70.1% 4% 3% -64.6%
≤30d 257 -67.0% -70.1% 4% 3% -64.6%
≤90d 257 -67.0% -70.1% 4% 3% -64.6%
all 601 +22.6% +10.9% 21% 20% +13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.9% 20% +13.9%
10% ← realistic here +0.3% 19% +3.0%
15% -9.4% 18% -7.0%
20% -18.3% 17% -16.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records