Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x137b…b9a6
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$1
other 19% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 26¢ $5 1h
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals SELL Yes 0¢ $0 22h
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists SELL Yes 0¢ $0 22h
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists BUY Yes 2¢ $1 22h
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals BUY Yes 2¢ $3 22h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $16 22h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $10 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-61.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -57.9% -61.9% 25% 25% -20.9%
≤30d 4 -57.9% -61.9% 25% 25% -20.9%
≤90d 4 -57.9% -61.9% 25% 25% -20.9%
all 4 -57.9% -61.9% 25% 25% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -61.9% 25% -20.9%
10% -65.6% 25% -28.4%
15% -68.9% 25% -35.4%
20% -71.9% 25% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records