Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:21:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x137d…2d94 crypto 1468 markets active 6d ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (244 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$321 (+1%) realized +$321 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate87%1352W / 199L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day243.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$610
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (244 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -73.8% -76.3% 22% 2% -97.0%
≤30d 1551 -5.9% -14.9% 87% 3% -18.4%
≤90d 1551 -5.9% -14.9% 87% 3% -18.4%
all 1551 -5.9% -14.9% 87% 3% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover243.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 3% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 0% -26.2%
15% -30.5% 0% -33.3%
20% -37.3% 0% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$52 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.37 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$321
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1352 / 199
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1551 / 1468
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$41
Trades / day243.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1551 Trades
no open positions (180 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $150 −$150 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $244 −$244 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $150 −$150 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $28 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $31 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records