Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:25:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x138a…384f
crypto · 1693 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1523 / 170
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1693 / 1693
History coverage14d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day135.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1693 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 0¢ 48¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 882 +1.2% -8.4% 88% 25% -9.4%
≤30d 1693 +0.9% -8.7% 90% 19% -9.4%
≤90d 1693 +0.9% -8.7% 90% 19% -9.4%
all 1693 +0.9% -8.7% 90% 19% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 19% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 3% -18.0%
15% -25.4% 1% -25.9%
20% -32.7% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.52 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records