Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x138a…2a04
other · 1521 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$754 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$833 · open −$77
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$609
Realized+$833
Unrealized−$77
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1508 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1510 / 1521
History coverage42d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day47.6
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit3%
Chart Positions 14 History 1510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$27
14 days+$130
30 days+$490
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? Over 100¢ 100¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? Over 100¢ 100¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? Under 100¢ 100¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 4? Under 100¢ 100¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4? Under 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4? Under 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4? Under 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? No 89¢ 50¢ $88 $49 −$38 (-44%)
First Blood in Game 4? Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ 98¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? Under 99¢ 50¢ $69 $35 −$34 (-49%)
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4? Over 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 99¢ 50¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-49%)
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? Over 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTT - Women's Singles: Eun-Hye Lee vs Yi Chen Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
WTT - Women's Singles: Jian Zeng vs Yuling Zhu Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
WTT - Women's Singles: Hina Hayata vs Sakura Yokoi Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
WTT - Women's Singles: Miu Hirano vs Xiaona Shan Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
WTT - Men's Singles: Ankur Bhattacharjee vs Dang Qiu Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
WTT - Men's Singles: Yukiya Uda vs Yuanyu Chen Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
WTT - Men's Singles: Jong-Hoon Lim vs Wim Verdonschot Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
WTT - Men's Singles: Tomislav Pucar vs Manav Thakkar Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
First Blood in Game 3? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $110 $0 +0%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 12 $43 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $52 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 2? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $110 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $110 $0 +0%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $110 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 1? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
WTT - Men's Singles: Anton Kaellberg vs Jun-Sung Oh Jun 12 $55 $0 +0%
WTT - Women's Singles: Satsuki Odo vs Honoka Hashimoto Jun 07 $67 +$1 +1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? Jun 07 $60 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? Jun 07 $60 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3? Jun 07 $60 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? Jun 07 $60 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 4? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? Jun 07 $60 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 95% +$675
sports 5% +$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? BUY Under 100¢ $50 1h
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4? BUY Under 100¢ $50 1h
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4? BUY Under 100¢ $50 1h
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4? BUY Under 100¢ $50 1h
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 4? BUY Under 100¢ $50 1h
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? BUY Over 100¢ $50 1h
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? BUY Over 100¢ $50 1h
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 4? BUY Under 98¢ $5 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? BUY Under 98¢ $5 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4? BUY Over 98¢ $5 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? BUY Over 98¢ $5 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? BUY Over 98¢ $5 2h
First Blood in Game 4? BUY Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $50 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 100¢ $50 2h
WTT - Men's Singles: Ankur Bhattacharjee vs Dang Qiu BUY Qiu 99¢ $5 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 100¢ $50 2h
WTT - Men's Singles: Yukiya Uda vs Yuanyu Chen BUY Chen 99¢ $50 2h
WTT - Men's Singles: Yukiya Uda vs Yuanyu Chen BUY Chen 99¢ $50 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 100¢ $100 2h
WTT - Women's Singles: Jian Zeng vs Yuling Zhu BUY Zhu 99¢ $119 2h
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? BUY Yes 100¢ $43 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 98¢ $10 3h
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 98¢ $10 3h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 98¢ $2 3h
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 98¢ $10 3h
First Blood in Game 3? BUY Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $50 3h
WTT - Women's Singles: Hina Hayata vs Sakura Yokoi BUY Yokoi 99¢ $5 3h
WTT - Men's Singles: Jong-Hoon Lim vs Wim Verdonschot BUY Lim 99¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 1027 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 1% -8.8%
≤90d 1510 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 1% -8.7%
all 1510 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 1% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 1% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 0% -17.5%
15% -25.4% 0% -25.4%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $608.63 · official $608.64 (match) · 3500 history records