Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:03:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x13a6…767e crypto 226 markets active 1h ago coverage 29d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$24 (-1%) realized −$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate50%113W / 113L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day19.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$83
14 days−$83
30 days−$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -14.1% -22.3% 54% 42% -18.4%
≤30d 226 +1.5% -8.2% 50% 43% -13.1%
≤90d 226 +1.5% -8.2% 50% 43% -13.1%
all 226 +1.5% -8.2% 50% 43% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 43% -13.1%
10% -17.0% 35% -21.5%
15% -25.0% 29% -29.0%
20% -32.4% 24% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$7 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses113 / 113
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 226
History coverage29d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 226 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$7 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $13 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $42 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $44 +$27 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$22 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$8 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$6 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 762 history records