Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:56:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x13b1…9752 crypto 1358 markets active 0h ago coverage 47d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$5 (-0%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate90%1223W / 135L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day32.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$32
14 days−$26
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$3
other 14% −$25
weather 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 442 -1.0% -10.4% 89% 15% -10.8%
≤30d 876 -0.2% -9.7% 90% 12% -10.2%
≤90d 1358 +0.0% -9.5% 90% 12% -10.0%
all 1358 +0.0% -9.5% 90% 12% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 12% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 4% -18.6%
15% -26.1% 3% -26.5%
20% -33.3% 2% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1223 / 135
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1358 / 1358
History coverage47d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1358 Trades
no open positions (88 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$4 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$1 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$2 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $19 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $14 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2762 history records