Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13c9…97fc
crypto · 1585 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$199 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$199 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1139 / 446
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1585 / 1585
History coverage39d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day52.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$199
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -71%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -75%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$199
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 433 -1.2% -10.6% 71% 71% -10.8%
≤30d 740 -2.8% -12.0% 73% 70% -12.6%
≤90d 1585 -4.0% -13.1% 72% 53% -12.6%
all 1585 -4.0% -13.1% 72% 53% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 53% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 37% -21.0%
15% -29.0% 13% -28.6%
20% -36.0% 4% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records