trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +53.8% | +39.2% | 44% | 44% | +93.5% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +53.8% | +39.2% | 44% | 44% | +93.5% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +53.8% | +39.2% | 44% | 44% | +93.5% |
| all | 19 | +46.4% | +32.4% | 42% | 42% | +53.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +32.4% | 42% | +53.4% |
| 10% | +19.7% | 42% | +38.7% |
| 15% | +8.2% | 37% | +25.3% |
| 20% | -2.4% | 37% | +13.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $9,457 | $9,546 | +$89 (+1%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2,000 | $2,601 | +$601 (+30%) |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | England | 31¢ | 30¢ | $2,000 | $1,968 | −$32 (-2%) |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50¢ | 48¢ | $1,000 | $970 | −$30 (-3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $1,000 | $936 | −$64 (-6%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $700 | −$300 (-30%) |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $500 | $464 | −$36 (-7%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $500 | $393 | −$107 (-21%) |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $300 | $296 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Over | 32¢ | 32¢ | $300 | $295 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $300 | $294 | −$6 (-2%) |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 | Over | 28¢ | 28¢ | $200 | $196 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $200 | $195 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Yes | 18¢ | 28¢ | $100 | $156 | +$56 (+56%) |
| Harry Kane: 3+ goals | Yes | 9¢ | 27¢ | $50 | $152 | +$102 (+204%) |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5 | Over | 6¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $92 | −$8 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $2,034 | +$705 | +35% |
| Spread: Austria (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $512 | −$396 | -78% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $205 | −$52 | -25% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5 | Jun 17 | $103 | −$74 | -72% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $356 | +$458 | +129% |
| Spread: Austria (-3.5) | Jun 17 | $205 | −$200 | -97% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $510 | +$879 | +172% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $1,017 | +$1,363 | +134% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $306 | +$662 | +216% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $256 | −$250 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $1,520 | −$1,500 | -99% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $2,042 | +$4,662 | +228% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $1,021 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 14 | $4,079 | +$7,686 | +188% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 | Jun 14 | $308 | +$2,668 | +866% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 | Jun 14 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 | Jun 14 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 17 | $3,921 | −$3,444 | -88% |