Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:25:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13d0…4a70
crypto · 554 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,904 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,429 · open −$474
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,372
Realized−$2,429
Unrealized−$474
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses271 / 270
Est. fees paid−$124
Open positions13
Markets (closed)541 / 554
History coverage50d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 13 History 541 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,584
7 days−$1,584
14 days−$1,666
30 days−$1,945
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 52¢ 48¢ $558 $509 −$48 (-9%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $239 $231 −$7 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 72¢ 90¢ $143 $178 +$35 (+24%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $165 $164 −$2 (-1%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Natus Vincere 46¢ 74¢ $46 $74 +$28 (+61%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 72¢ 74¢ $71 $73 +$2 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 65¢ 68¢ $65 $68 +$2 (+4%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 21¢ 20¢ $65 $61 −$4 (-5%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 71¢ 0¢ $284 $2 −$282 (-99%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 51¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 50¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak James McCabe 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Tung-Lin Wu 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Spurs 48¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Guillaume Dalmasso Guillaume Dalmasso 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24? No 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 45¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 27¢ 0¢ $244 $0 −$244 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $475 $0 −$475 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Devin Badenhorst vs Eliakim Coulibaly Devin Badenhorst 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $193 +$91 +47%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $136 +$62 +46%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $115 +$84 +73%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $35 +$30 +86%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $81 +$58 +72%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $319 +$179 +56%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $275 −$272 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$61 +88%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$15 +45%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $288 −$285 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $211 −$209 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $73 +$66 +90%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $119 −$117 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $52 +$158 +307%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 11 $33 −$33 -99%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5) Jun 11 $15 −$14 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $114 −$113 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $80 −$79 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 11 $125 −$123 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 11 $248 −$246 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $446 −$441 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $597 +$513 +86%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $35 −$34 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $163 −$162 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $492 −$485 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $511 +$585 +115%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $544 −$536 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $540 +$240 +45%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $249 −$244 -98%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 10 $339 −$333 -98%
Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 04 $25 −$5 -20%
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov Jun 03 $83 +$2 +3%
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellis Jun 03 $29 −$9 -32%
Heilbronn: Max Schoenhaus vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 03 $3 +$13 +409%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Jun 03 $55 +$30 +55%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Tyler: Yuta Shimizu vs Dane Sweeny Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $53 −$8 -14%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Centurion 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 03 $10 −$5 -48%
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez Jun 03 $84 −$58 -69%
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Prostejov: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Maxim Mrva Jun 03 $5 −$4 -98%
Centurion 2: Devin Badenhorst vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 03 $0 $0 -97%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Tristan Boyer Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin Jun 03 $108 −$8 -7%
Heilbronn: Marko Topo vs Emilio Nava Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Guillaume Dalmasso Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$764
sports 41% −$2,131
other 2% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $4 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $64 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $325 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $2 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $31 12m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $66 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $5 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $14 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $3 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $14 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $23 27m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 99¢ $284 43m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 99¢ $198 43m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $72 56m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $81 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $191 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $3 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 58¢ $4 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $22 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 66¢ $5 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 66¢ $20 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 62¢ $19 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 62¢ $6 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 62¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -18.1% -25.9% 43% 43% -31.6%
≤30d 85 -47.4% -52.4% 22% 19% -32.5%
≤90d 541 -15.5% -23.5% 50% 31% -20.8%
all 541 -15.5% -23.5% 50% 31% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.5% 31% -20.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.8% 22% -28.4%
15% -37.5% 16% -35.3%
20% -43.6% 11% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,371.91 · official $1,371.91 (match) · 2442 history records