Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13f0…a50f
sports · 512 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,349 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,352 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,860
Realized+$1,352
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses509 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions4
Markets (closed)510 / 512
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2,028
Trades / day500.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,480
7 days+$1,352
14 days+$1,352
30 days+$1,352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 4.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $636 $634 −$2 (-0%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $633 $631 −$2 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner ex-Zero Tenacity 100¢ 100¢ $584 $584 −$1 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) Jun 14 $17 $0 +0%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 14 $1,326 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $386 +$4 +1%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $56,479 +$57 +0%
1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 14 $12 $0 +0%
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $607 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1,512 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1,496 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1,522 +$15 +1%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 14 $91 $0 +0%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 14 $103 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $7,111 +$7 +0%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $4,508 +$5 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $11,011 +$11 +0%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $18,425 +$18 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1,551 +$16 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $577 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1,538 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1,513 +$14 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $87 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1,499 +$14 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $169 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $167 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,570 +$16 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $10,043 +$10 +0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,701 +$5 +0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $229 $0 +0%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $319 $0 +0%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $53 $0 +0%
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov Jun 13 $18 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $321 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $1,701 +$2 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $457 $0 +0%
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves Jun 13 $112 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,992 +$4 +0%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $1,955 +$2 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $11,372 +$11 +0%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $1,989 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $342 $0 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $16,735 +$17 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $18,001 +$18 +0%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $593 +$1 +0%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $18,296 +$18 +0%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $2,489 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% +$688
crypto 20% +$524
other 14% +$136
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $17 28m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $18 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $386 35m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $27 35m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $55 35m
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Spurs 100¢ $607 44m
1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 100¢ $12 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,512 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,496 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $333 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $767 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $36,762 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $22 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $333 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $231 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $7 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $565 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 510 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 510 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 510 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 510 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover500.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.4%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,859.79 · official $1,859.79 (match) · 3500 history records