Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13fa…052a
other · 257 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$864 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$360 · open −$493
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$254
Realized−$360
Unrealized−$493
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses99 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Est. fees paid−$173
Open positions10
Markets (closed)247 / 257
History coverage990d
Avg bet$277
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 10 History 247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$733
7 days−$477
14 days−$1,778
30 days−$2,075
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June? Yes 65¢ 40¢ $351 $213 −$138 (-39%)
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $16 $10 −$6 (-34%)
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $9 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+4%)
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $11 $6 −$5 (-48%)
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+210%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $342 $0 −$342 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $383 −$37 -10%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$2 -8%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $402 −$17 -4%
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 13 $21 −$2 -8%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,648 −$938 -35%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $27 +$15 +54%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $22 −$11 -50%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -39%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $26 +$9 +35%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $103 −$73 -71%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $30 −$11 -36%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $36 −$35 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $101 −$4 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $1,330 +$55 +4%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $103 −$3 -3%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $41 −$3 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $82 −$20 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $63 −$10 -16%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$20 +197%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $76 +$65 +85%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $62 +$1 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2,024 +$110 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $810 +$20 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $570 +$237 +42%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Jun 11 $855 +$20 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $26 −$1 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 −$4 -34%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 11 $909 −$28 -3%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 11 $10 −$2 -25%
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $13 −$2 -13%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $929 +$10 +1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? Jun 10 $25 +$16 +64%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $93 −$48 -52%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $66 +$9 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $54 +$57 +105%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 10 $54 −$2 -4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 10 $39 +$1 +3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 10 $222 +$17 +8%
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? Jun 09 $30 −$20 -67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $16 +$33 +210%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $156 +$24 +15%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $66 −$5 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $892 +$30 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $376 +$202 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% −$332
sports 18% −$292
crypto 16% −$300
tech 2% +$83
world 1% +$20
politics 0% −$1
weather 0% −$41
finance 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 64¢ $346 1h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $346 1h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 55¢ $383 1h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? SELL Yes 63¢ $365 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $18 1h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 65¢ $385 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $385 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 2h
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $9 2h
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL Yes 3¢ $10 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $402 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 5¢ $60 2h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 99¢ $42 3h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? SELL Yes 5¢ $11 3h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 16¢ $6 3h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 19¢ $35 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 4¢ $30 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 39¢ $19 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $103 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 82¢ $301 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $1,284 4h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 58¢ $97 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 59¢ $30 6h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $27 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $101 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -8.1% -16.8% 40% 22% -12.1%
≤30d 202 -10.6% -19.1% 37% 25% -13.1%
≤90d 203 -11.0% -19.4% 36% 25% -13.4%
all 247 -9.3% -18.0% 40% 27% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.0% 27% -10.0%
10% -25.8% 19% -18.6%
15% -33.0% 15% -26.5%
20% -39.6% 13% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $254.46 · official $254.46 (match) · 1564 history records