Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:18:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1406…e845
crypto · 358 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$190 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$184
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses85 / 267
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)352 / 358
History coverage44d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 5 History 352 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 22¢ 28¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+29%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-93%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$31 +1519%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$24 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +511%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$10 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -18%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$196
other 9% −$35
sports 5% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 10m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 99¢ $14 11m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $33 12m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 14m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +31.3% +18.8% 34% 33% -10.1%
≤30d 177 -1.0% -10.4% 25% 24% -19.4%
≤90d 352 -16.3% -24.3% 24% 22% -27.0%
all 352 -16.3% -24.3% 24% 22% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.3% 22% -27.0%
10% -31.5% 20% -34.0%
15% -38.1% 17% -40.4%
20% -44.2% 14% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.53 · official $20.65 · 891 history records