Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:45:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1444…815d
crypto · 1660 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$74 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses179 / 1527
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1706 / 1660
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 1706 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$75
7 days−$74
14 days−$74
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -198%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$3
other 14% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1706 -2.6% -11.9% 10% 0% -11.5%
≤30d 1706 -2.6% -11.9% 10% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 1706 -2.6% -11.9% 10% 0% -11.5%
all 1706 -2.6% -11.9% 10% 0% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 0% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 0% -19.9%
15% -28.0% 0% -27.7%
20% -35.1% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records