Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:01:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1461…1f99
other · 21 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$93 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$99
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,901
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$99
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions20
Markets (closed)1 / 21
History coverage4d
Avg bet$147
Trades / day46.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit5%
Chart Positions 20 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $600 $598 −$2 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $585 $593 +$8 (+1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $570 $532 −$38 (-7%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $285 $293 +$8 (+3%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $225 $215 −$10 (-4%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $150 $142 −$8 (-6%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $135 $128 −$7 (-5%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $105 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $60 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $45 $43 −$2 (-5%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $45 $34 −$11 (-25%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-5%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-17%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $30 $24 −$6 (-19%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+12%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+6%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-10%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-12%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 96% −$98
crypto 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 2m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 43m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 44m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 46m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 47m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $15 48m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 49m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 50m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 50m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $15 52m
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 52m
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 55m
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 55m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $15 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
all 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,901.11 · official $2,901.11 (match) · 206 history records