trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Jun 10 | $27,724 | −$27,724 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Jun 10 | $44,862 | −$44,849 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $22,045 | +$9,610 | +44% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 18 | $2,951 | +$3,549 | +120% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 18 | $166,113 | +$155,224 | +93% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 16 | $256 | +$239 | +93% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 15 | $1,575 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? | May 14 | $63,200 | +$16,800 | +27% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 13 | $762 | +$683 | +90% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 07 | $489 | −$489 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 07 | $3,622 | −$2,824 | -78% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | May 07 | $39,674 | −$39,517 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $54,324 | +$13,176 | +24% |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 20 | May 05 | $7,315 | −$6,334 | -87% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 05 | $31,370 | −$31,370 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5 | May 02 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | May 02 | $9,947 | +$10,458 | +105% |
| Stars vs. Wild | May 01 | $6,676 | +$5,519 | +83% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 202 | Apr 30 | $97,517 | +$7,460 | +8% |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | Apr 29 | $9,030 | +$10,600 | +117% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | Apr 28 | $510 | −$510 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 28 | $1,424 | +$511 | +36% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Apr 28 | $2,527 | +$2,151 | +85% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Apr 28 | $7,380 | −$7,380 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 28 | $51,552 | −$51,552 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Apr 26 | $17,830 | +$20,143 | +113% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $88,411 | +$73,122 | +83% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $546 | −$546 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $109,724 | +$30,762 | +28% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Apr 25 | $223 | −$2 | -1% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Apr 25 | $168 | −$168 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $88,103 | −$88,103 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $104,419 | +$35,573 | +34% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 24 | $109,940 | +$9,273 | +8% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 23 | $36,784 | +$5,386 | +15% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | Apr 22 | $338 | $0 | -0% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 22 | $4,344 | −$4,344 | -100% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics | Apr 20 | $29,264 | −$29,264 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Apr 20 | $16,614 | −$16,614 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 20 | $5,944 | +$21,689 | +365% |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) | Apr 20 | $54,975 | +$15,589 | +28% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 20 | $50,600 | +$4,268 | +8% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $35,700 | +$15,300 | +43% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros | Mar 27 | $8,184 | −$8,184 | -100% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Mar 27 | $17,985 | −$17,985 | -100% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Mar 27 | $26,172 | +$15,078 | +58% |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5 | Mar 27 | $20,250 | +$21,749 | +107% |
| Kings vs. Hornets | Mar 25 | $158,100 | +$11,900 | +8% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5 | Mar 23 | $3,232 | −$3,232 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Knicks | Mar 23 | $3,840 | +$160 | +4% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +22.2% | +10.5% | 75% | 62% | +21.5% |
| ≤90d | 51 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 57% | 45% | -1.4% |
| all | 73 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 52% | 41% | +69.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -6.0% | 41% | +69.3% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 40% | +53.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -23.2% | 33% | +38.3% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 29% | +24.8% |