Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:05:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x14a2…1b42
crypto · 375 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,447 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,420 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$919
Realized−$6,420
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses259 / 560
Open positions2
Markets (closed)819 / 375
History coverage1d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day3170.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 819 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,420
7 days−$6,420
14 days−$6,420
30 days−$6,420
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $140 $336 +$196 (+141%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 69¢ 72¢ $200 $212 +$11 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $53 $145 +$92 (+173%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $47 $96 +$49 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 29¢ 100¢ $20 $68 +$48 (+245%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 49¢ 28¢ $57 $32 −$25 (-44%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 78¢ 50¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 29¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+245%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $140 +$196 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$92 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$48 +245%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +245%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +245%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$554
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-50.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 819 -45.5% -50.7% 32% 28% -28.0%
≤30d 819 -45.5% -50.7% 32% 28% -28.0%
≤90d 819 -45.5% -50.7% 32% 28% -28.0%
all 819 -45.5% -50.7% 32% 28% -28.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3170.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.7% 28% -28.0%
10% ← realistic here -55.4% 19% -34.9%
15% -59.8% 13% -41.2%
20% -63.7% 8% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $918.51 · official $877.76 · 3500 history records