Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:27:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x14e4…3e2b
other · 490 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$76,455 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73,764 · open +$288
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$869
Realized−$73,764
Unrealized+$288
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses377 / 111
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$93
Open positions2
Markets (closed)488 / 490
History coverage119d
Avg bet$1,823
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 2 History 488 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$797
7 days+$1,471
14 days−$4,530
30 days−$8,055
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 100¢ $500 $793 +$293 (+59%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 54¢ $81 $76 −$5 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $952 −$10 -1%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $427 −$427 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $60 +$2 +3%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $111 +$24 +21%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $165 −$165 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $210 −$210 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $165 +$72 +44%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $201 +$46 +23%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $95 +$5 +5%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $96 +$43 +45%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $481 +$30 +6%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $81 +$30 +38%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $896 +$391 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,018 +$1,546 +152%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $251 +$24 +10%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $78 +$22 +29%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $28 +$2 +7%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $73 +$7 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $844 +$44 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $179 +$21 +12%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $84 +$6 +7%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $316 +$60 +19%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 09 $66 +$61 +93%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $181 +$26 +14%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $503 +$130 +26%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $503 +$146 +29%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $50 +$10 +21%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $113 −$113 -100%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $50 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 07 $31 −$31 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$10 +93%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $375 +$99 +26%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Egypt? Jun 07 $24 +$1 +4%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $433 +$64 +15%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $831 +$90 +11%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $12 +$3 +23%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $201 +$19 +10%
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $120 +$7 +6%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $101 +$33 +32%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $39 $0 -1%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,786 −$1,786 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 04 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 04 $407 −$407 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $4,313 −$3,842 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% −$97,144
sports 14% +$23,889
crypto 3% −$1,679
world 1% +$1,409
finance 0% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $82 36m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 89¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 91¢ $602 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 90¢ $12 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 89¢ $6 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $70 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 95¢ $10 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 96¢ $100 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 88¢ $28 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 20¢ $38 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 39¢ $8 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 45¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 48¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 43¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $101 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $506 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 97¢ $60 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 41¢ $112 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $111 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 56¢ $15 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $20 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $253 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 86¢ $1 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $4 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 85¢ $94 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -5.7% -14.7% 72% 44% +5.8%
≤30d 71 -6.9% -15.8% 73% 44% -19.7%
≤90d 205 -4.1% -13.3% 78% 51% -10.4%
all 488 +3.0% -6.8% 77% 50% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 50% -17.1%
10% -15.8% 27% -25.0%
15% ← realistic here -23.9% 13% -32.3%
20% -31.4% 6% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $869.28 · official $869.28 (match) · 3500 history records