trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 42% | 38% | -24.6% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -26.1% | -33.2% | 39% | 36% | -48.0% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -26.1% | -33.2% | 39% | 36% | -48.0% |
| all | 28 | -26.1% | -33.2% | 39% | 36% | -48.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.2% | 36% | -48.0% |
| 10% | -39.6% | 36% | -53.0% |
| 15% | -45.4% | 32% | -57.5% |
| 20% | -50.7% | 25% | -61.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 13¢ | $930 | $999 | +$68 (+7%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | $850 | $987 | +$138 (+16%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $911 | $938 | +$26 (+3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $865 | $682 | −$182 (-21%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $535 | $505 | −$30 (-6%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $316 | $198 | −$118 (-37%) |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Over | 52¢ | 81¢ | $106 | $165 | +$59 (+56%) |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Over | 47¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $106 | +$56 (+112%) |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | $51 | $102 | +$51 (+100%) |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists | Yes | 43¢ | 46¢ | $51 | $55 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $102 | +$142 | +140% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $257 | −$230 | -90% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | Jun 21 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $101 | +$82 | +81% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $260 | +$85 | +33% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 21 | $71 | −$26 | -36% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $243 | +$145 | +60% |
| Florian Wirtz: 1+ assists | Jun 20 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Jamal Musiala: 1+ assists | Jun 20 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | Jun 20 | $102 | +$98 | +97% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $256 | −$252 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Arda Güler: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $355 | +$305 | +86% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $345 | −$340 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $356 | −$21 | -6% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $506 | +$214 | +42% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $244 | −$240 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $254 | −$220 | -86% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 01 | $257 | −$250 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 27 | $1,831 | −$1,800 | -98% |