Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:16:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x14e7…a32c
sports · 276 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$31,939 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29,663 · open −$1,991
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,514
Realized−$29,663
Unrealized−$1,991
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses127 / 497
Whale WR (big bets)27%
Est. fees paid−$1,006
Open positions28
Markets (closed)624 / 276
History coverage2d
Avg bet$304
Trades / day1790.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 28 History 624 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29,663
7 days−$29,663
14 days−$29,663
30 days−$29,663
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 74¢ 98¢ $418 $559 +$140 (+34%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 66¢ 65¢ $545 $534 −$11 (-2%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 66¢ 66¢ $397 $399 +$2 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 21¢ 47¢ $67 $147 +$80 (+119%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 74¢ 80¢ $133 $143 +$10 (+8%)
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Max Dahlin 57¢ 50¢ $133 $116 −$17 (-13%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 54¢ 56¢ $81 $83 +$2 (+2%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 65¢ 33¢ $131 $67 −$64 (-49%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 43¢ 43¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 75¢ 88¢ $38 $44 +$7 (+18%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 77¢ 78¢ $38 $39 +$1 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 47¢ 46¢ $39 $39 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 62¢ 74¢ $31 $37 +$6 (+19%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 50¢ 66¢ $25 $33 +$8 (+33%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Elizabeth Mandlik 50¢ 65¢ $25 $32 +$8 (+30%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $39 $30 −$9 (-24%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 56¢ $25 $28 +$2 (+10%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Andreea Prisacariu 60¢ 25¢ $50 $21 −$29 (-58%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Camilla Gennaro 73¢ 75¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 72¢ 63¢ $21 $18 −$3 (-12%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 39¢ 67¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+72%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 61¢ 22¢ $44 $16 −$28 (-63%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 77¢ 53¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-31%)
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric Pia Lovric 60¢ 64¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 54¢ 20¢ $17 $7 −$11 (-62%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Jun 12 $133 −$17 -13%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 12 $306 −$306 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champions Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderp Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 12 $42 −$54 -129%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $421 −$145 -34%
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Somerset Jun 12 $23 +$22 +96%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $232 −$231 -100%
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Chloe Noel Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 12 $75 −$53 -71%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $174 −$174 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $12 +$120 +1017%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Yorkshire Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwanda Jun 12 $24 −$50 -212%
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? Jun 12 $161 −$161 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$23 -71%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Kent Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$7,301
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 24¢ $11 0m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 24¢ $9 0m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 24¢ $28 0m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 21¢ $2 1m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 29¢ $1 1m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 72¢ $21 1m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 29¢ $5 1m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 17¢ $21 2m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 47¢ $40 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 80¢ $204 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 80¢ $63 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 78¢ $233 5m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 78¢ $2 5m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 73¢ $19 5m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 23¢ $24 5m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $9 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $25 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $69 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $30 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 35¢ $4 7m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 69¢ $18 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 66¢ $201 9m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 66¢ $200 10m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 71¢ $23 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $25 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $47 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $5 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $71 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $9 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $23 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-40.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 624 -34.5% -40.7% 20% 18% -39.2%
≤30d 624 -34.5% -40.7% 20% 18% -39.2%
≤90d 624 -34.5% -40.7% 20% 18% -39.2%
all 624 -34.5% -40.7% 20% 18% -39.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1790.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.7% 18% -39.2%
10% ← realistic here -46.4% 14% -45.0%
15% -51.6% 12% -50.4%
20% -56.3% 10% -55.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,513.70 · official $2,513.70 (match) · 3500 history records