trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 25 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $855 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,719 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $858 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $858 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $859 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $859 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $859 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $1,803 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $867 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $217 | −$47 | -22% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $915 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $916 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $1,855 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $918 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,857 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $918 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $923 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $922 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $1,855 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $926 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $778 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $936 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $939 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $939 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $932 | −$1 | -0% |