trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 60% | 60% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 60% | 60% | -8.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 60% | 60% | -8.2% |
| all | 13 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 62% | 38% | -36.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.2% | 38% | -36.3% |
| 10% | -26.9% | 31% | -42.4% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 31% | -48.0% |
| 20% | -40.5% | 8% | -53.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $130 | $133 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 26¢ | $9 | $8 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $35 | +$16 | +44% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$12 | +40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $30 | +$14 | +48% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 01 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 01 | $300 | +$6 | +2% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%? | Jun 01 | $100 | −$90 | -90% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Jun 01 | $773 | −$509 | -66% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 01 | $157 | +$23 | +15% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential elect | May 31 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $99 | +$58 | +59% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | May 29 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |