Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:56:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1501…039d
crypto · 60 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$748 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$747 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$747
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses31 / 28
Open positions1
Markets (closed)59 / 60
History coverage99d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $422 $0 −$422 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$17 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$13 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$13 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Mar 06 $173 +$154 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Mar 06 $128 −$126 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Mar 06 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Mar 06 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Mar 06 $64 +$109 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Mar 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Mar 06 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Mar 06 $429 −$422 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Mar 06 $100 −$99 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$768
world 21% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $27 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -0.7% -10.1% 59% 46% -14.0%
≤30d 41 -0.7% -10.1% 59% 46% -14.0%
≤90d 41 -0.7% -10.1% 59% 46% -14.0%
all 59 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 42% -30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.0% 42% -30.3%
10% -27.7% 37% -36.9%
15% -34.7% 31% -43.0%
20% -41.1% 25% -48.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $1.10 · 182 history records