Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1502…ffe0
crypto · 314 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,403 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$565 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$565
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses77 / 236
Open positions1
Markets (closed)313 / 314
History coverage12d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day275.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$194
7 days−$194
14 days−$565
30 days−$565
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $75 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$8 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $34 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $28 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $42 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $38 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $42 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$554
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -2.0% -11.3% 26% 3% -11.9%
≤30d 313 -4.1% -13.3% 25% 3% -12.8%
≤90d 313 -4.1% -13.3% 25% 3% -12.8%
all 313 -4.1% -13.3% 25% 3% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 3% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 1% -21.1%
15% -29.2% 0% -28.7%
20% -36.1% 0% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.00 · official $22.00 (match) · 3500 history records