Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:27:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1505…8db3
crypto · 339 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,201 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,752 · open −$107
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$133
Realized−$4,752
Unrealized−$107
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses47 / 290
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$306
Open positions2
Markets (closed)337 / 339
History coverage44d
Avg bet$248
Trades / day36.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$331
7 days−$953
14 days−$2,997
30 days−$4,106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 50¢ 28¢ $239 $131 −$108 (-45%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 50¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? No 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $674 +$250 +37%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $719 +$26 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $362 −$46 -13%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $436 −$218 -50%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $676 +$358 +53%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $644 −$259 -40%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,768 −$384 -22%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $526 −$65 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 12 $109 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,279 −$276 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$35 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,401 +$552 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $325 −$112 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $200 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $1,563 −$182 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $200 −$50 -25%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $357 −$128 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $305 −$103 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $179 −$39 -22%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $640 −$8 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Jun 07 $379 −$189 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Jun 07 $348 −$169 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Jun 07 $200 +$52 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $213 +$36 +17%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $157 −$29 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3PM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12PM ET Jun 06 $205 −$12 -6%
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $272 −$77 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% −$1,504
crypto 40% −$2,155
other 14% −$1,093
world 1% −$108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 75¢ $26 12m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 71¢ $106 16m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 72¢ $22 20m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 72¢ $25 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 72¢ $25 23m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 74¢ $110 24m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 65¢ $5 30m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 65¢ $22 32m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 81¢ $137 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 83¢ $36 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 83¢ $24 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 84¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 83¢ $45 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $14 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 83¢ $34 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 84¢ $7 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 84¢ $65 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 87¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 86¢ $22 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 82¢ $43 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 82¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 82¢ $28 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 18¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 81¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +62.3% +46.8% 16% 14% -25.9%
≤30d 262 +14.8% +3.8% 15% 11% -17.6%
≤90d 337 +10.3% -0.2% 14% 9% -16.5%
all 337 +10.3% -0.2% 14% 9% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.2% 9% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -9.8% 6% -24.4%
15% -18.5% 4% -31.7%
20% -26.5% 3% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $133.31 · official $131.45 · 3500 history records