Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:04:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1517…bb27
crypto · 296 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses264 / 31
Open positions1
Markets (closed)295 / 296
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day395.7
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 92¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$21
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 295 -1.1% -10.5% 89% 28% -8.3%
≤30d 295 -1.1% -10.5% 89% 28% -8.3%
≤90d 295 -1.1% -10.5% 89% 28% -8.3%
all 295 -1.1% -10.5% 89% 28% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover395.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 28% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 4% -17.1%
15% -26.9% 3% -25.1%
20% -34.1% 2% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.67 · official $3.58 · 810 history records