trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 60% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 33% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 33% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 24 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 67% | 0% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 0% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 25 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 24 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $63 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 16 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 25 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 18 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 03 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds? | Mar 31 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 30 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 24 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or moreon March 28? | Mar 24 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Canada wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics? | Mar 18 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $14 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on March 11? | Mar 12 | $13 | $0 | +1% |