Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x152e…8195
crypto · 616 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$187 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses332 / 284
Open positions0
Markets (closed)616 / 616
History coverage7d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day92.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 616 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$192
14 days−$187
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +313%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$187
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 613 -6.7% -15.6% 54% 38% -14.5%
≤30d 616 -6.5% -15.4% 54% 38% -14.4%
≤90d 616 -6.5% -15.4% 54% 38% -14.4%
all 616 -6.5% -15.4% 54% 38% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 38% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 33% -22.6%
15% -30.9% 31% -30.0%
20% -37.7% 29% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1001 history records