trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 56% | 0% | -8.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 54% | 0% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 54% | 0% | -8.1% |
| all | 22 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 59% | 0% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 0% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $43 | $43 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 20 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $48 | +$5 | +10% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $47 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $45 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 18 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 12 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 12 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |