Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x158f…2b05
crypto · 1736 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$430 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$430 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$430
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1651 / 203
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1854 / 1736
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day233.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$393
7 days−$453
14 days−$430
30 days−$430
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1701 -6.9% -15.8% 88% 1% -14.6%
≤30d 1854 -6.1% -15.1% 89% 1% -13.9%
≤90d 1854 -6.1% -15.1% 89% 1% -13.9%
all 1854 -6.1% -15.1% 89% 1% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover233.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 1% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 0% -22.1%
15% -30.6% 0% -29.6%
20% -37.4% 0% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records