trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 45% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 45% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 24 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 58% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 4% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 22 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 31 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $25 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 28 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? | Jun 27 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference? | May 20 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 26 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 25 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 23 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year? | Apr 20 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 day | Apr 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | Apr 02 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on March 11? | Mar 12 | $11 | $0 | +1% |