trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -31.0% | -37.6% | 50% | 46% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 31 | -24.7% | -31.8% | 52% | 35% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -24.7% | -31.8% | 52% | 35% | -9.5% |
| all | 31 | -24.7% | -31.8% | 52% | 35% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.8% | 35% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -38.4% | 23% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 13% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -49.8% | 6% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $31 | −$20 | -64% |
| Austria to win the second half? | Jun 28 | $18 | +$2 | +13% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $95 | +$7 | +7% |
| Jordan to win the second half? | Jun 28 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| DR Congo to win the second half? | Jun 28 | $56 | +$49 | +86% |
| Portugal to win the second half? | Jun 28 | $26 | +$18 | +72% |
| Colombia to win the second half? | Jun 28 | $7 | +$3 | +34% |
| England to win the second half? | Jun 28 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $36 | −$36 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $71 | +$30 | +43% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $71 | +$31 | +43% |
| Ghana to win the second half? | Jun 27 | $28 | −$28 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Saudi Arabia to win the second half? | Jun 27 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| IR Iran to win the second half? | Jun 27 | $77 | +$22 | +29% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $73 | +$24 | +34% |
| Uruguay to win the second half? | Jun 27 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Norway to win the second half? | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Austria to win the second half? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $10 | +$2 | +21% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $53 | +$11 | +20% |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Jun 20 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Jun 20 | $28 | −$4 | -13% |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | Jun 08 | $11 | −$1 | -8% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Jun 05 | $24 | −$2 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |