Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x15df…c68b
sports · 927 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$46 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$130
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses636 / 272
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions32
Markets (closed)908 / 927
History coverage20d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day96.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 32 History 908 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$81
14 days−$41
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils Arthur Fils 86¢ 50¢ $9 $5 −$4 (-42%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 89¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 90¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+49%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 78¢ 94¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+21%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 95¢ 91¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 90¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+72%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? No 79¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 90¢ 90¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils Jun 12 $9 −$4 -42%
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Peyton Stearns Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Spread: PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will NK Varaždin vs. NK Istra 1961 end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01? Jun 12 $0 $0 +3%
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $0 $0 +3%
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +15%
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$8 +126%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 −$2 -10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: South Africa (-2.5) Jun 11 $11 $0 -0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $3 +$1 +28%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $16 −$6 -37%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $13 +$6 +46%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $3 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $3 +$1 +15%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $3 −$1 -38%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$27
other 19% −$69
crypto 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 95¢ $2 35m
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 90¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 78¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 99¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $1 2h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 96¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $2 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 93¢ $3 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 91¢ $1 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 84¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 61¢ $3 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $1 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 66¢ $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 90¢ $2 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $1 4h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 52¢ $1 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $4 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $1 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 62¢ $1 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 62¢ $1 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 319 -3.9% -13.0% 67% 32% -16.6%
≤30d 908 +0.9% -8.8% 70% 38% -10.6%
≤90d 908 +0.9% -8.8% 70% 38% -10.6%
all 908 +0.9% -8.8% 70% 38% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 38% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 26% -19.2%
15% -25.5% 18% -27.0%
20% -32.8% 13% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $130.31 · official $125.32 · 3500 history records