trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 54% | 54% | -6.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 54% | 54% | -6.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 54% | 54% | -6.1% |
| all | 20 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 45% | 45% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 45% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 45% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 45% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 40% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Colombia | 46¢ | 60¢ | $150 | $197 | +$47 (+32%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 90¢ | $150 | $186 | +$36 (+24%) |
| Spread: Colombia (-2.5) | Colombia | 26¢ | 28¢ | $50 | $55 | +$5 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $252 | +$105 | +42% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $122 | +$145 | +119% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $102 | +$116 | +114% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $202 | +$105 | +52% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $127 | +$220 | +172% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $253 | +$164 | +65% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $402 | −$398 | -99% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $81 | −$80 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $355 | −$350 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $253 | +$138 | +54% |
| Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026? | Feb 06 | $100 | −$54 | -54% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $100 | +$75 | +75% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Jan 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | Jan 17 | $97 | −$44 | -46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Jan 17 | $6 | +$17 | +267% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Jan 17 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |