trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 50% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 43% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 43% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 23 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 48% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $36 | $35 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $74 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 11 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 28 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 1 | Jun 27 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $2 | −$1 | -76% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025? | Jun 17 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 06 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July? | Jun 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 04 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | Jun 03 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 02 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | Jun 02 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 01 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | May 24 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ding Liren win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament? | May 22 | $0 | $0 | -20% |
| Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $44-48m opening wee | May 19 | $24 | $0 | +0% |