Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:56:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x160c…f8a9
crypto · 749 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,011 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,013 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$1,013
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses292 / 454
Open positions3
Markets (closed)746 / 749
History coverage57d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 746 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 21¢ 42¢ $17 $34 +$17 (+98%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 60¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 57¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +67%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +137%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 30 $1 +$2 +159%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 30 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 30 $6 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 29 $5 +$3 +53%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,011
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $16 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $9 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $12 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -30.7% -37.3% 41% 41% -30.0%
≤30d 219 -21.5% -29.0% 42% 40% -10.2%
≤90d 746 -5.7% -14.7% 39% 38% +16.7%
all 746 -5.7% -14.7% 39% 38% +16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 38% +16.7%
10% -22.8% 36% +5.6%
15% -30.3% 32% -4.6%
20% -37.1% 27% -14.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.56 · official $36.54 (match) · 1374 history records