Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:30:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x161d…df16
crypto · 58 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses34 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$7
other 13% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 15h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 16h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 23h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 24h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 24h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 59% -13.0%
≤30d 58 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 59% -13.0%
≤90d 58 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 59% -13.0%
all 58 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 59% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 59% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 59% -21.3%
15% -26.7% 57% -28.9%
20% -33.9% 53% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 92 history records