Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:42:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x161d…4cbe
crypto · 312 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$41 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses160 / 152
Open positions0
Markets (closed)312 / 312
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day244.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 312 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$41
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$11 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$10 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 312 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 48% -11.8%
≤30d 312 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 48% -11.8%
≤90d 312 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 48% -11.8%
all 312 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 48% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover244.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 48% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 46% -20.3%
15% -28.6% 42% -28.0%
20% -35.6% 37% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1111 history records