trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macron out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 28 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 28 | $1,153 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Jun 28 | $1,121 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $1,067 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May | May 10 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | May 10 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 10 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 04 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 04 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 04 | $809 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 04 | $858 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 03 | $860 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 03 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 03 | $825 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 02 | $868 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 02 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 02 | $800 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 02 | $865 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 02 | $855 | −$4 | -0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Apr 02 | $19 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 01 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential | Apr 01 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 27 | $130 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 27 | $28 | $0 | -0% |