trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +68.6% | +52.5% | 39% | 33% | -19.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +34.5% | +21.7% | 32% | 28% | -21.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +34.5% | +21.7% | 32% | 28% | -21.0% |
| all | 25 | +34.5% | +21.7% | 32% | 28% | -21.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.7% | 28% | -21.0% |
| 10% | +10.1% | 28% | -28.5% |
| 15% | -0.6% | 28% | -35.4% |
| 20% | -10.3% | 24% | -41.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Over | 47¢ | 46¢ | $216 | $213 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $27 | $28 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $33 | $24 | −$9 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $123 | −$74 | -60% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $192 | −$138 | -72% |
| Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 27 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $0 | $0 | +176% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $51 | −$16 | -32% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 AND Will South Africa win on | Jun 26 | $10 | +$89 | +866% |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 AND Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $34 | −$1 | -4% |
| Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$3 | -15% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Jun 25 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$45 | +442% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgiu | Jun 21 | $26 | +$37 | +146% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Japan to score first vs. Tunisia? | Jun 21 | $30 | +$16 | +51% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) AND Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $20 | +$47 | +231% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $102 | −$8 | -8% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06 | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $118 | +$42 | +36% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $23 | −$22 | -96% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |