Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:00:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x164f…b572
crypto · 74 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses66 / 7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)73 / 74
History coverage3d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$16 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $198 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $196 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $189 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $28 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)+0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +10.6% +0.1% 90% 7% -10.2%
≤30d 73 +10.6% +0.1% 90% 7% -10.2%
≤90d 73 +10.6% +0.1% 90% 7% -10.2%
all 73 +10.6% +0.1% 90% 7% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.1% 7% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -9.5% 4% -18.8%
15% -18.3% 4% -26.6%
20% -26.3% 4% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.83 · official $33.77 · 234 history records