Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:27:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1652…96dc
crypto · 415 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,023 -52%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,023 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$3,023
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses191 / 529
Open positions0
Markets (closed)720 / 415
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day243.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 720 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,841
7 days−$3,685
14 days−$3,023
30 days−$3,023
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+139%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+116%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+284%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+169%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+137%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+130%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$33 +6068%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$37 +8984%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$8 +1281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$23 +5094%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$20 +5437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$23 +5576%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +666%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$33 +26072%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,336
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 607 -31.2% -37.8% 18% 17% -52.2%
≤30d 720 -12.6% -20.9% 27% 26% -40.2%
≤90d 720 -12.6% -20.9% 27% 26% -40.2%
all 720 -12.6% -20.9% 27% 26% -40.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover243.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 26% -40.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 25% -45.9%
15% -35.4% 24% -51.1%
20% -41.7% 21% -55.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.25 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records