Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:31:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1657…04cb
crypto · 656 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$159 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$159
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses381 / 274
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)655 / 656
History coverage40d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day39.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 655 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$13
14 days−$124
30 days−$154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? Up 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$142
world 12% −$4
sports 4% −$3
other 3% −$7
politics 1% −$2
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 258 -1.1% -10.5% 83% 25% -10.6%
≤30d 643 -6.2% -15.2% 59% 21% -15.3%
≤90d 655 -6.3% -15.2% 58% 21% -15.4%
all 655 -6.3% -15.2% 58% 21% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 21% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 5% -23.5%
15% -30.8% 2% -30.9%
20% -37.5% 2% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2176 history records