trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +99.3% | +80.3% | 100% | 100% | +82.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 50% | 50% | -70.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 38% | 38% | -35.7% |
| all | 8 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 38% | 38% | -35.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.7% | 38% | -35.7% |
| 10% | -12.9% | 38% | -41.9% |
| 15% | -21.3% | 38% | -47.5% |
| 20% | -29.0% | 38% | -52.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 70¢ | 66¢ | $21 | $20 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 4¢ | $32 | $17 | −$15 (-48%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 41¢ | 44¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $17 | +$13 | +76% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$25 | +122% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | Jun 16 | $283 | −$250 | -88% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 08 | $493 | −$493 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Apr 08 | $276 | −$3 | -1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 08 | $197 | +$321 | +163% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 02 | $250 | −$53 | -21% |