Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:01:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
16 0x1664…ef12 crypto 67 markets active 5d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (105 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate67%45W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day105.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (105 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -8.1% -16.8% 67% 29% -16.3%
≤30d 67 -8.4% -17.1% 67% 37% -11.3%
≤90d 67 -8.4% -17.1% 67% 37% -11.3%
all 67 -8.4% -17.1% 67% 37% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover105.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 37% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 15% -19.8%
15% -32.3% 4% -27.6%
20% -38.9% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses45 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day105.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 67 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$3 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $12 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 259 history records