Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x167a…d542
sports · 440 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47,493 -76%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47,370 · open −$123
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$370
Realized−$47,370
Unrealized−$123
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses230 / 508
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$447
Open positions7
Markets (closed)738 / 440
History coverage7d
Avg bet$143
Trades / day471.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 738 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45,788
7 days−$47,370
14 days−$47,370
30 days−$47,370
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Federico Cina 71¢ 100¢ $99 $138 +$39 (+40%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 60¢ 100¢ $49 $82 +$33 (+67%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 81¢ 98¢ $49 $60 +$11 (+22%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 61¢ 27¢ $98 $43 −$55 (-56%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 72¢ 49¢ $53 $36 −$17 (-32%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Giron 63¢ 75¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+19%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 68¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$51 (-99%)
Nuno Borges vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 53¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Shnaider 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $288 $0 −$288 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $632 $0 −$632 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5 Over 21¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $632 −$632 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $185 −$185 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $493 −$493 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $221 −$221 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $275 −$275 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $312 −$312 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Eala vs Sawangkaew Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,319 −$1,319 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$680
crypto 49% −$1,209
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 90¢ $50 18m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 59¢ $50 28m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 81¢ $50 33m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $4 33m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 72¢ $49 33m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 56¢ $9 42m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 56¢ $41 48m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 50¢ $31 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 51¢ $3 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 52¢ $32 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 69¢ $49 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 54¢ $50 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 57¢ $50 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 68¢ $49 2h
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova BUY Dart 72¢ $22 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 60¢ $50 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 79¢ $49 2h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 92¢ $50 2h
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova BUY Dart 52¢ $7 2h
Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 93¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 66¢ $49 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 55¢ $50 3h
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) BUY Maria 65¢ $46 3h
Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5) BUY Boulter 86¢ $33 3h
Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 54¢ $1 4h
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5) BUY Cecchinato 50¢ $32 4h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 66¢ $49 5h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 50¢ $37 13h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 50¢ $47 13h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 53¢ $30 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-50.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 738 -45.0% -50.2% 31% 17% -49.2%
≤30d 738 -45.0% -50.2% 31% 17% -49.2%
≤90d 738 -45.0% -50.2% 31% 17% -49.2%
all 738 -45.0% -50.2% 31% 17% -49.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover471.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.2% 17% -49.2%
10% ← realistic here -55.0% 14% -54.1%
15% -59.3% 12% -58.5%
20% -63.3% 10% -62.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $370.22 · official $362.55 · 3500 history records