Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1682…b272
crypto · 72 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses33 / 34
Open positions5
Markets (closed)67 / 72
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day495.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 47¢ 52¢ $26 $29 +$3 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Up 76¢ 80¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 40¢ 48¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Down 28¢ 20¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 61¢ 50¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 41¢ 50¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 14¢ 16¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 55¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$21 +205%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$19 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$19 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$18 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -6.8% -15.6% 49% 40% -14.9%
≤30d 67 -6.8% -15.6% 49% 40% -14.9%
≤90d 67 -6.8% -15.6% 49% 40% -14.9%
all 67 -6.8% -15.6% 49% 40% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover495.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 40% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 33% -23.0%
15% -31.1% 28% -30.5%
20% -37.8% 22% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.04 · official $66.83 (match) · 562 history records