trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Golden Knights | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $6 | +$6 | +92% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +101% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +188% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $13 | −$4 | -30% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $7 | +$1 | +17% |
| President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $6 | +$2 | +39% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $2 | +$1 | +59% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $3 | +$1 | +20% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 58% | 58% | +15.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 58% | 58% | +15.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 58% | 58% | +15.1% |
| all | 12 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 58% | 58% | +15.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 58% | +15.1% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 42% | +4.0% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 42% | -6.0% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 33% | -15.2% |